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Bettings

European soccer returns Tuesday with the second leg of the UEFA Champions League quarterfinals. FC Porto will hope to turn around a 2-0 deficit against Chelsea in Spain while the reigning champions Bayern Munich head to France to face Neymar and Paris Saint-Germain in a must-win match.

The DraftKings main contest is a $20 entry with $10k going to first place.

Matches

3 p.m. ET: FC Porto vs. Chelsea
3 p.m. ET: Bayern Munich vs. Paris Saint-Germain

Odds report

Chelsea (-118), FC porto (+333)
Total: 2.5; both teams to score: (-125)

Paris Saint-Germain (+180), Bayern Munich (+120)
Total: 3.75; both teams to score: (-300)

Clean sheet

Chelsea: 36%
FC Porto: 19%
Bayern Munich: 17%
PSG: 14%

Anytime goal odds (Top 10)

Kylian Mbappe (+118)
Olivier Giroud (+140)
Neymar (+143)
Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting (+148)
Thomas Muller (+148)
Tammy Abraham (+155)
Moise Kean (+155)
Leroy Sane (+180)
Timo Werner (+180)
Kingsley Coman (+230)

Set-piece takers

Chelsea:

Mason Mount
Reece James
Penalty taker: Jorginho

FC Porto:

Sergio Oliveira
Otavio
Penalty taker: Sergio Oliveira

PSG:

Angel Di Maria
Neymar
Penalty taker: Neymar

Bayern Munich:

Joshua Kimmich
Penalty taker: Thomas Muller

Predicted lineups

Chalk

M: Joshua Kimmich ($7,800)

Kimmich has a solid floor thanks in part to his dominant role on set-pieces. Leroy Sane ($6,900) could sneak a few if he starts, but Kimmich does more than enough in open play to make up for it. He could easily be the highest owned player in cash at upwards of 80%.

Bayern Munich players, in general, will be the chalk of this slate since they’re in the match with the highest total and they need to score at least two goals.

Cash core

M: Joshua Kimmich ($7,800)
D: Reece James ($6,000)

I have James over Mason Mount ($8,300) and Hakim Ziyech ($7,000) in my core because he’s a much cheaper way into Chelsea’s set-pieces. James has been taking the majority of corners over the past few matches even with Mount and Ziyech in the lineup. He also does enough from open play to warrant his salary and place over the other two. Being a defender, he also has the added clean sheet bonus if his side shutout Porto.

At least one of your forward spots in cash is likely to be taken up by a Bayern Munich player. Sane will be looked at as the most cash-friendly play since he’s taken set-pieces in the past for Bayern and his price is very good for a Munich forward. He had a bad game in the first leg, putting up a measly 4.3 DraftKings points despite his side taking 31 shots. We should expect a much-improved performance on Tuesday.

His teammates Thomas Muller ($8,500) and Kingsley Coman ($7,500) could also be rolled out in cash games. I expect Muller to be the lowest owned of the three.

Then there’s Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting ($6,300), who will be playing through the middle once again in the absence of Robert Lewandowski. Just know that he is purely goal-dependent.

Leon Goretzka ($5,800) is a GPP-only play. He’s another Bayern player who could score in this match. He has four goals and four assists in his last 11 matches.

PSG players could be overlooked here since they don’t really need to chase the game, but they can still find the back of the net, and if Bayern scores early that may encourage the French side to attack.

Neymar ($10,100) is still a top option on this slate, especially in cash formats. The Brazilian has the highest floor on the slate and does everything for PSG. He’s the majority set-piece taker, he’s on penalties and draws a ton of fouls.

PSG will once again play on the counter just like they did in the first leg, so Kylian Mbappe ($9,200) is definitely in play, but I’d leave him out of your cash lineups. He makes for a great GPP differential.

I expect midfield/forward eligible players to be rostered in the midfield spots in cash games since that pool doesn’t have much value.

Mason Mount ($8,300) is a pass for me since Chelsea has a 2-0 lead over Porto. There is no need for them to break their shape and attack their opponents. Mount has also lost a major role on set-pieces to James.

Sergio Oliveira ($7,300) didn’t play in the first leg due to suspension, so Otavio ($4,400) took over on dead balls and had a fantastic 17.9-floor game. Don’t expect anything similar from him since Oliveira will regain his role over dead balls and penalties. Porto needs goals and Oliveira could come through here.

Kai Havertz ($5,600) is GPP only. He’s starting to find his form, scoring and assisting this past weekend against Crystal Palace. Havertz works well in a Chelsea stack.

After Reece James, Benjamin Pavard ($5,300) and Alphonso Davies ($4,200) are two of my favorite defenders on this slate. Both are attack-minded outside defenders who will be ordered to join in the Bayern attack. I prefer Davies over Pavard.

Wilson Manafa ($3,100) and Abdou Diallo ($2,800) are two pay-down options worth considering if you need the salary.

Cash player pool

Players in bold are midfield/forward eligible

Forward

Neymar ($10,100)
Thomas Muller ($8,500)
Kingsley Coman ($7,500)
Leroy Sane ($6,900)
Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting ($6,300)

Midfield

Joshua Kimmich ($7,800)
Sergio Oliveira ($7,300)
Mateo Kovacic ($4,200)
N’Golo Kante ($3,200)

Defender

Reece James ($6,000)
Benjamin Pavard ($5,300)
Zaidu Sanusi ($4,600)
Alphonso Davies ($4,200)
Wilson Manafa ($3,100)
Abdou Diallo ($2,800)

Goalkeeper considerations

Keylor Navas ($4,600)
Agustin Marchesin ($4,000)

I’ll be in the Discord chat prior to lineup lock to break down the starting lineups and to answer any questions you may have.