Week 9 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Darrell Henderson from EV Insight

Darrell HendersonRushing Yards

Right now, Darrell Henderson’s rushing yards prop is set at 47.5 yards (-120/-110).

The public has bet the OVER up to 47.5 (-120) after it opened @ 45.5 (-115).

Pros

The Rams have called the 9th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a massive 60.9 plays per game.
While Darrell Henderson has been responsible for 36.7% of his offense’s carries in games he has played since the start of last season, the predictive model expects him to be a less important option in Los Angeles’s running game in this game at 18.9%.
Opposing offenses have run for the 6th-most adjusted yards in the league (136 per game) versus the Packers defense this year.
When it comes to the defensive ends’ role in stopping the run, Green Bay’s DE corps has been atrocious this year, grading out as the 7th-worst in the NFL. in the NFL.

Cons

The Los Angeles Rams will be rolling out backup QB Brett Rypien in this week’s game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
A throwing game script is indicated by the Rams being a -3.5-point underdog in this game.
Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Rams are forecasted by the projection model to run only 62.5 offensive plays in this game: the 5th-fewest among all teams this week.
Darrell Henderson’s 2.9 adjusted yards per carry this season signifies a meaningful diminishment in his running prowess over last season’s 3.9 figure.

Projection

THE BLITZ
50
Rushing Yards