Week 7 Player Props: Rushing Yards for James Cook

James CookRushing Yards

Right now, James Cook’s rushing yards prop is set at 53.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 53.5 (-110) after it opened @ 55.5 (-110).

Pros

This game’s line suggests an extreme rushing game script for the Bills, who are overwhelmingly favored by 7.5 points.
In this game, James Cook is forecasted by the projections to position himself in the 75th percentile when it comes to RBs with 12.6 rush attempts.
After making up 19.1% of his team’s rushing play calls last season, James Cook has played a bigger part in the run game this season, now accounting for 51.2%.
James Cook’s 58.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this season illustrates a a material growth in his rushing skills over last season’s 32.0 mark.

Cons

At the moment, the 3rd-least run-focused team in the NFL (32.4% context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Bills.
Our trusted projections expect the Bills offense to be the 3rd-slowest paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 29.75 seconds per snap.
In regards to run support (and the effect it has on all run game statistics), the O-line of the Bills ranks as the 7th-worst in football last year.
James Cook’s running efficiency has declined this year, compiling a measly 4.66 adjusted yards-per-carry vs a 5.79 figure last year.
The New England Patriots safeties grade out as the best safety corps in the league this year when it comes to defending the run.

Projection

THE BLITZ
57
Rushing Yards