NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
Derek CarrPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 17
Buccaneers vs. Saints
Right now, Derek Carr’s passing yards prop is set at 252.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 252.5 (-110) after it opened @ 241.5 (-110).
Pros
- The predictive model expects the Saints to run the 8th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 65.9 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.
- The Saints have run the 5th-most plays in football this year, totaling a monstrous 60.8 plays per game.
- Opposing QBs have averaged 39.5 pass attempts per game versus the Buccaneers defense this year: 4th-most in football.
- Derek Carr’s passing precision has gotten a boost this year, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 61.4% to 65.9%.
- Opposing teams have thrown for the 3rd-most adjusted yards in football (271.0 per game) versus the Buccaneers defense this year.
Cons
- The New Orleans O-line profiles as the 4th-worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a negative effect on all passing attack metrics across the board.
Projection
THE BLITZ
252
Passing Yards
252
Passing Yards
