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Week 12 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Josh Jacobs from EV Insight

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Josh Jacobs

Josh JacobsRushing Yards

Player Props – Week 12

Raiders vs. Chiefs

Right now, Josh Jacobs’s rushing yards prop is set at 69.5 yards (+112/-143).
The public has bet the OVER up to 69.5 (+112) after it opened @ 64.5 (-115).

Pros

  • At the present time, the 2nd-most run-focused team in the league (44.3% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Raiders.
  • In this game, Josh Jacobs is anticipated by the predictive model to secure a spot in the 97th percentile when it comes to running backs with 20.9 carries.
  • Out of all RBs, Josh Jacobs grades out in the 100th percentile for rush attempts this year, taking on 81.4% of the workload in his offense’s running game.
  • The Raiders offensive line ranks as the 3rd-best in the NFL last year in run support.
  • The Kansas City Chiefs defense has produced the 8th-worst efficiency against opposing run games this year, surrendering 4.52 adjusted yards-per-carry.
Cons

  • An extreme passing game script is indicated by the Raiders being a heavy -9.5-point underdog in this week’s game.
  • The projections expect the Raiders to call the 6th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.4 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • The 4th-fewest plays in the league have been run by the Raiders this year (only 53.7 per game on average).
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • Josh Jacobs’s 61.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this season represents a significant decrease in his rushing talent over last season’s 100.0 mark.

Projection
THE BLITZ
88
Rushing Yards

Previous Week 12 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Cole Kmet from EV Insight Next Week 12 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Christian Kirk from EV Insight
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