Week 11 NFL Moneyline Underdogs
Mike Randle
Team Profile
Tennessee Titans
2-7-0
3rd
AFC South
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-20.6% 28thOff DVOA
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-11.8% 28thPassing DVOA
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-15.9% 29thRushing DVOA
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-6.7% 8thDef DVOA
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5.4% 15thDef Passing DVOA
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-21.1% 5thDef Rushing DVOA
2024 Team Stats
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Points For17.4 28th
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Points Against26.7 29th
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Yards Per Game296.0 27th
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Yards Allowed Per Game274.0 1st
Ftn model pick
Projected Points
48.96%
Projected Points
51.1%
| Edge | Win % | Sportbook | |
|---|---|---|---|
Spread
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Moneyline
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Total
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Matchup Stats
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Starting lineup
Matchup STATS
|
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|---|---|---|---|---|
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Points Per Game
|
17.4
|
28
|
17.4
|
2
|
|
Yards Per Game
|
296.0
|
27
|
311.0
|
11
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|---|---|---|---|---|
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Passing Yards
|
1,523
|
32
|
2,090
|
20
|
|
Pass Yards per Attempt
|
5.5
|
27
|
6.2
|
8
|
|
Passing Touchdowns
|
11
|
19
|
14
|
19
|
|
Interceptions
|
11
|
30
|
15
|
1
|
|
Interception Worthy Throws
|
16
|
28
|
|
5
|
|
Catchable Air Yards
|
|
23
|
|
26
|
|
Pass Rate
|
58.8%
|
17
|
67.9%
|
31
|
|
Explosive Pass Rate
|
7.2%
|
25
|
|
13
|
|
Man Coverage Rate
|
|
18
|
|
32
|
|
Zone Coverage Rate
|
|
15
|
|
1
|
|
Man Yards per Attempt
|
|
32
|
|
3
|
|
Zone Yards per Attempt
|
|
25
|
|
10
|
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Pressure Rate
|
|
22
|
|
14
|
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Time to Throw
|
|
6
|
|
21
|
|
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|
|---|---|---|---|---|
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Rushing Yards
|
1,137
|
19
|
711
|
1
|
|
Rushing Yards Per Attempt
|
4.6
|
11
|
3.8
|
3
|
|
Rushing Touchdowns
|
6
|
27
|
4
|
2
|
|
Fumbles
|
10
|
22
|
9
|
12
|
|
Rush Rate
|
41.2%
|
16
|
32.1%
|
2
|
|
Yards Before Contact
|
|
22
|
|
1
|
|
Yards After Contact
|
|
11
|
|
2
|
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Missed Tackle Rate
|
|
20
|
|
1
|
|
Stuffed Run Rate
|
|
1
|
|
5
|
|
Explosive Run Rate
|
|
8
|
|
4
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Points Per Game
|
24.6
|
11
|
26.7
|
29
|
|
Yards Per Game
|
344.0
|
13
|
274.0
|
1
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Passing Yards
|
2,010
|
16
|
1,410
|
1
|
|
Pass Yards per Attempt
|
7.6
|
4
|
5.7
|
2
|
|
Passing Touchdowns
|
17
|
6
|
13
|
15
|
|
Interceptions
|
10
|
25
|
3
|
29
|
|
Interception Worthy Throws
|
13
|
22
|
|
25
|
|
Catchable Air Yards
|
|
17
|
|
3
|
|
Pass Rate
|
55.8%
|
25
|
56.6%
|
10
|
|
Explosive Pass Rate
|
13.3%
|
1
|
|
8
|
|
Man Coverage Rate
|
|
25
|
|
9
|
|
Zone Coverage Rate
|
|
8
|
|
24
|
|
Man Yards per Attempt
|
|
2
|
|
16
|
|
Zone Yards per Attempt
|
|
10
|
|
1
|
|
Pressure Rate
|
|
25
|
|
18
|
|
Time to Throw
|
|
31
|
|
32
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Rushing Yards
|
1,082
|
21
|
1,052
|
12
|
|
Rushing Yards Per Attempt
|
4.2
|
20
|
4.3
|
9
|
|
Rushing Touchdowns
|
4
|
30
|
10
|
19
|
|
Fumbles
|
9
|
14
|
8
|
19
|
|
Rush Rate
|
44.2%
|
8
|
43.4%
|
23
|
|
Yards Before Contact
|
|
16
|
|
7
|
|
Yards After Contact
|
|
25
|
|
6
|
|
Missed Tackle Rate
|
|
28
|
|
13
|
|
Stuffed Run Rate
|
|
21
|
|
1
|
|
Explosive Run Rate
|
|
19
|
|
20
|
Player Projections
|
|
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
18.3
|
29.8
|
61.4
|
183.4
|
6.1
|
1.1
|
0.8
|
15.7
|
0.1
|
12.9
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
7.7
|
28.9
|
3.8
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
2.2
|
14.8
|
0.1
|
7.4
|
|
|
15.4
|
59.0
|
3.8
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
2.8
|
16.5
|
0.1
|
11.5
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.3
|
65.4
|
15.4
|
0.3
|
1.0
|
-
|
10.4
|
|
|
2.1
|
22.4
|
10.6
|
0.2
|
-
|
-
|
4.3
|
|
|
2.1
|
17.4
|
8.1
|
0.1
|
-
|
-
|
3.3
|
|
|
2.0
|
18.9
|
9.2
|
0.1
|
0.3
|
-
|
3.4
|
|
1.2
|
12.3
|
10.0
|
0.1
|
-
|
-
|
2.2
|
|
1.0
|
9.1
|
8.9
|
0.1
|
-
|
-
|
1.8
|
|
0.6
|
6.6
|
11.0
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
1.0
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
19.8
|
30.0
|
66.0
|
209.7
|
7.0
|
1.1
|
1.1
|
15.9
|
0.1
|
13.8
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
15.4
|
63.9
|
4.1
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
2.6
|
19.3
|
0.1
|
12.9
|
|
5.8
|
22.6
|
3.9
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.8
|
4.3
|
-
|
3.7
|
|
1.0
|
3.5
|
3.7
|
-
|
0.0
|
0.2
|
1.1
|
-
|
0.5
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.4
|
73.5
|
13.7
|
0.4
|
-
|
-
|
12.6
|
|
|
4.4
|
38.3
|
8.7
|
0.2
|
-
|
-
|
7.3
|
|
|
3.0
|
34.1
|
11.5
|
0.2
|
0.9
|
-
|
6.2
|
|
|
1.4
|
21.1
|
14.8
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
-
|
3.2
|
|
1.5
|
14.7
|
9.7
|
0.1
|
-
|
-
|
2.5
|
|
0.6
|
3.5
|
5.8
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
0.6
|