Team Profile
Kansas City Chiefs
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10.8% 8thOff DVOA
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25.7% 11thPassing DVOA
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-2.9% 12thRushing DVOA
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-2.7% 12thDef DVOA
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6.5% 17thDef Passing DVOA
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-15.5% 9thDef Rushing DVOA
2024 Team Stats
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Points For24.1 11th
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Points Against19.5 4th
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Yards Per Game329.0 16th
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Yards Allowed Per Game321.0 9th
Kansas City Chiefs tight end Travis Kelce caught seven passes for 71 yards in the wild-card win over the Miami Dolphins, but his late-season case of the drops dragged into the playoffs. Kelce committed the third-most drops (six) among TEs in 2023, tallying two more in his last time out. Closing the regular season with the fewest yards per catch (10.6) of his decorated career, the 34-year-old four-time All-Pro remains fantasy's PPR TE1 but has looked his age at times during the campaign's second half. Rookie Rashee Rice is perhaps the superior DFS play in the Divisional Round against the Buffalo Bills, but Kelce has utterly dominated Buffalo in their last six meetings all told. Piling up 46 catches, 527 yards, and six touchdowns, Kelce is averaging a whopping 7.7 catches and 87.8 yards over this period. With Kelce topping the prices at $6,000 on DraftKings, DFS players are searching for an encore if paying up for the slate's top choice.
Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes topped 300 total yards in last Saturday's win over the Miami Dolphins, but he placed just seventh at his position with 18.6 fantasy points. It was Mahomes' 10th straight outing outside of the top six for fantasy purposes -- despite the field narrowing to 12 wild-card starters -- last accomplishing this feat way back in Week 7. It's no secret that 2023 has been a statistical struggle for Mahomes, even with a pass-heavy approach, largely in part due to K.C.'s lack of downfield threats and reliability in their receiving corps. Mahomes has also struggled to an 85.1 passer rating and 7:5 TD:INT in four career regular-season games versus the Buffalo Bills, but he's kicked it up a notch for at least 325 passing yards and three touchdowns in each of these two teams' past two playoff matchups. Mahomes ranks third among DraftKings QB salaries at $6,800 for the Divisional Round and is a high-end QB1 against Buffalo's injury-plagued defense.
Kansas City Chiefs wide receivers Kadarius Toney (ankle, hip) and Justyn Ross (hamstring) were both limited in practice all week and are questionable to play on Sunday versus the Buffalo Bills in the Divisional Round of the postseason. Regardless of whether Toney is able to play this weekend, the fact remains that he hasn't played since Week 15 and wasn't on the fantasy radar to begin with before his injuries. The 24-year-old had only 27 receptions (38 targets) for 169 yards and one touchdown through the air in his first full season with the Chiefs. Ross, meanwhile, injured his hamstring in Week 18 and didn't play in last week's wild-card win over the Miami Dolphins. He, too, should be avoided in DFS if he's active, as he had just six catches for 53 yards and no TDs during the regular season.
Kansas City Chiefs wide receiver Skyy Moore (knee) will not come off the Injured Reserve to play in Sunday's Divisional Round game versus the Buffalo Bills. Moore returned to practice this week but isn't ready to contribute on offense. The 23-year-old second-year player was a disappointment once again before even getting injured, catching 21 of his 38 targets for 244 yards and the first touchdown of his career in 14 regular season games before getting injured in Week 15. Moore has not played since but could be available as receiver depth for KC if they beat the Bills in Buffalo and advance to another AFC Championship next weekend. Rookie Rashee Rice has become the Chiefs' only reliable pass-catcher for fantasy purposes, outside of tight end Travis Kelce. Justin Watson and Marquez Valdes-Scantling are the starters alongside Rice.
Kansas City Chiefs wide receivers Kadarius Toney (ankle, hip), Skyy Moore (knee) and Justyn Ross (calf) were all limited in practice on Thursday for the second straight day this week. Toney and Moore both last played back in Week 15, so even if both of them are active for the Divisional Round game this Sunday against the Buffalo Bills, they could both be eased back into the offense, thus making them entirely too risky to count on for DFS lineups. Neither pass-catcher was very involved during the regular season when they were healthy anyway, with Toney going for 27 catches, 169 yards and one touchdown in 13 games, while Moore had 21 catches for 244 yards and one touchdown in 14 games. Moore is still on Injured Reserve, so he'll need to be activated on Saturday if the Chiefs want him available on Sunday.