Gross Bombs: NFL Props for Week 16
Josh Gross
Team Profile
Jacksonville Jaguars
3-11-0
3rd
AFC South
-
-0.8% 16thOff DVOA
-
14.2% 17thPassing DVOA
-
-7.6% 14thRushing DVOA
-
18.2% 32ndDef DVOA
-
37.6% 32ndDef Passing DVOA
-
-5.8% 21stDef Rushing DVOA
2024 Team Stats
-
Points For18.8 26th
-
Points Against26.9 27th
-
Yards Per Game306.0 26th
-
Yards Allowed Per Game396.0 32nd
Ftn model pick
55.97%
44.03%
| Edge | Win % | Sportbook | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Spread
|
|
|
|
|
|
Moneyline
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total
|
|
|
|
|
Matchup Stats
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Starting lineup
Matchup STATS
Rank
Total
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
18.8
|
26 th
|
28.5
|
32 nd
|
Points Per Game
|
17.8
|
29 th
|
26.9
|
27 th
|
|
306.0
|
26 th
|
329.0
|
12 th
|
Yards Per Game
|
300.0
|
28 th
|
396.0
|
32 nd
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2,862
|
24 th
|
2,936
|
9 th
|
Passing Yards
|
3,105
|
15 th
|
3,700
|
32 nd
|
|
6.3
|
19 th
|
6.5
|
10 th
|
Pass Yards per Attempt
|
5.9
|
27 th
|
7.9
|
32 nd
|
|
15
|
26 th
|
25
|
27 th
|
Passing Touchdowns
|
15
|
26 th
|
27
|
29 th
|
|
14
|
24 th
|
8
|
20 th
|
Interceptions
|
15
|
27 th
|
5
|
28 th
|
|
|
rd
|
|
th
|
Interception Worthy Throws
|
|
rd
|
|
th
|
|
|
rd
|
|
rd
|
Catchable Air Yards
|
|
th
|
|
st
|
|
|
th
|
|
th
|
Pass Rate
|
|
nd
|
|
th
|
|
|
th
|
|
th
|
Explosive Pass Rate
|
|
th
|
|
nd
|
|
|
th
|
|
th
|
Man Coverage Rate
|
|
th
|
|
th
|
|
|
th
|
|
th
|
Zone Coverage Rate
|
|
th
|
|
th
|
|
|
th
|
|
rd
|
Man Yards Per Attempt
|
|
th
|
|
st
|
|
|
th
|
|
th
|
Zone Yards Per Attempt
|
|
th
|
|
st
|
|
|
rd
|
|
nd
|
Pressure Rate
|
|
th
|
|
th
|
|
|
th
|
|
th
|
Time to Throw
|
|
th
|
|
th
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1,422
|
25 th
|
1,672
|
16 th
|
Rushing Yards
|
1,093
|
32 nd
|
1,849
|
23 rd
|
|
4.4
|
12 th
|
4.3
|
10 th
|
Rushing Yards Per Attempt
|
3.6
|
32 nd
|
4.4
|
15 th
|
|
11
|
21 st
|
12
|
10 th
|
Rushing Touchdowns
|
8
|
29 th
|
16
|
22 nd
|
|
10
|
5 th
|
7
|
31 st
|
Fumbles
|
16
|
24 th
|
5
|
32 nd
|
|
37.6%
|
22 nd
|
41.4%
|
19 th
|
Rush Rate
|
32.5%
|
31 st
|
41.5%
|
20 th
|
|
|
th
|
|
th
|
Yards Before Contact
|
|
th
|
|
th
|
|
|
th
|
|
th
|
Yards After Contact
|
|
nd
|
|
st
|
|
|
rd
|
|
th
|
Missed Tackle Rate
|
|
th
|
|
th
|
|
|
th
|
|
th
|
Stuffed Run Rate
|
|
th
|
|
th
|
|
|
th
|
|
th
|
Explosive Run Rate
|
|
th
|
|
nd
|
Player Projections
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
20.4
|
31.5
|
64.8
|
219.3
|
7.0
|
1.2
|
1.0
|
7.8
|
0.1
|
13.9
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
10.8
|
43.8
|
4.1
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
2.8
|
15.2
|
0.1
|
9.7
|
|
|
8.7
|
39.1
|
4.5
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
1.2
|
11.7
|
-
|
7.5
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.2
|
75.0
|
14.5
|
0.4
|
2.6
|
-
|
12.7
|
|
|
4.3
|
40.4
|
9.4
|
0.2
|
-
|
-
|
7.3
|
|
|
2.9
|
39.1
|
13.3
|
0.2
|
-
|
-
|
6.5
|
|
|
1.8
|
13.8
|
7.7
|
0.1
|
0.7
|
-
|
2.8
|
|
|
1.3
|
18.8
|
14.6
|
0.1
|
-
|
-
|
3.0
|
|
|
0.9
|
5.3
|
5.9
|
0.1
|
-
|
-
|
1.3
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
23.2
|
34.7
|
66.7
|
249.5
|
7.2
|
1.4
|
0.8
|
4.8
|
0.2
|
16.1
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
10.7
|
36.5
|
3.4
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
1.7
|
17.8
|
0.1
|
9.9
|
|
|
5.6
|
17.1
|
3.1
|
-
|
0.1
|
0.7
|
4.7
|
-
|
2.4
|
|
|
5.4
|
20.6
|
3.8
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
2.8
|
17.6
|
0.2
|
7.4
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.7
|
34.4
|
12.6
|
0.2
|
5.4
|
-
|
6.5
|
|
|
6.1
|
73.6
|
12.1
|
0.4
|
0.4
|
-
|
12.9
|
|
|
5.8
|
73.5
|
12.7
|
0.3
|
0.8
|
-
|
12.1
|
|
|
2.2
|
18.0
|
8.1
|
0.1
|
-
|
-
|
3.4
|
|
|
1.1
|
9.9
|
8.8
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
1.5
|
