Week 8 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Marquise Brown from EV Insight

Marquise BrownReceiving Yards

Right now, Marquise Brown’s receiving yards prop is set at 48.5 yards (-115/-115).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 48.5 (-115) after it opened @ 50.5 (-118).

Pros

The Cardinals may rely on the pass game less this week (and call more carries) as a result of being be forced to utilize backup QB Joshua Dobbs.
At a -9.5-point disadvantage, the Cardinals are giant underdogs this week, suggesting much more of an emphasis on throwing than their standard game plan.
The leading projections forecast the Arizona Cardinals as the 10th-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 59.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
Right now, the 10th-quickest paced offense in the league (in a neutral context) according to the model is the Arizona Cardinals.
The Ravens defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, inciting opposing teams to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the NFL (40.4 per game) this year.

Cons

The Arizona Cardinals feature a new play-caller this season in head coach Jonathan Gannon, and the leading projections forecast their pass/run mix to lean 6.0% more towards rushing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
As it relates to pocket protection (and the influence it has on all pass game metrics), the O-line of the Cardinals profiles as the 5th-worst in the NFL this year.
Marquise Brown’s 54.8% Adjusted Catch Rate this season represents a noteworthy reduction in his receiving talent over last season’s 62.8% mark.
Marquise Brown is positioned as one of the least effective pass-catchers in football, averaging a measly 6.65 adjusted yards-per-target this year while checking in at the 23rd percentile among wide receivers
The Ravens defense has yielded the 10th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in football (just 142.0) vs. WRs this year.

Projection

THE BLITZ
60
Receiving Yards