Week 3 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Davante Adams from EV Insight

Davante AdamsReceiving Yards

Right now, Davante Adams’s receiving yards prop is set at 76.5 yards (-110/-110).

Pros

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects Davante Adams to total 10.3 targets in this contest, on average, ranking in the 98th percentile among wide receivers.
Davante Adams has been an integral part of his team’s offense, posting a Target Share of 31.2% since the start of last season, which puts him in the 99th percentile among wide receivers.
Davante Adams has posted a monstrous 120.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 99th percentile among wideouts.
The Las Vegas Raiders offensive line grades out as the 7th-best in the league since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.

Cons

The Raiders are a 3-point favorite in this game, which points towards a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Raiders to run the 8th-least total plays on the slate this week with 62.3 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Las Vegas Raiders have called the 6th-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a mere 55.6 plays per game.
Opposing teams have averaged 31.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers defense since the start of last season: 8th-least in the league.
Davante Adams’s talent in generating extra yardage have declined this year, totaling a measly 3.83 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 4.95 mark last year.

Projection

THE BLITZ
88
Receiving Yards