Week 15 Player Props: Receiving Yards for D.J. Moore from EV Insight

D.J. MooreReceiving Yards

Right now, D.J. Moore’s receiving yards prop is set at 59.5 yards (-122/-107).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 59.5 (-107) after it opened @ 63.5 (-115).

Pros

In this contest, D.J. Moore is predicted by the projections to land in the 90th percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 8.3 targets.
After averaging 90.0 air yards per game last season, D.J. Moore has gotten better this season, currently averaging 95.0 per game.
D.J. Moore places in the 98th percentile among WR WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that examines high-value offensive involvement) with a whopping 78.6 figure this year.
D.J. Moore has notched significantly more adjusted receiving yards per game (78.0) this year than he did last year (49.0).
D.J. Moore’s 75.1% Adjusted Completion% this year illustrates a meaningful improvement in his receiving proficiency over last year’s 57.7% figure.

Cons

Our trusted projections expect the Bears as the 2nd-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 48.5% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
Right now, the 6th-slowest paced offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) according to the model is the Chicago Bears.
Opposing quarterbacks teams have been afraid to pass too much against the Cleveland Browns, totaling the fewest attempts in football (a measly 29.9 per game) this year.
This year, the fierce Browns defense has allowed a measly 121.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing WRs: the 2nd-fewest in the league.
The Cleveland Browns pass defense has yielded the lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (54.1%) vs. WRs this year (54.1%).

Projection

THE BLITZ
58
Receiving Yards