Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Will LevisPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 10
Buccaneers vs. Titans
Right now, Will Levis’s passing yards prop is set at 223.5 yards (-129/-106).
The public has bet the OVER up to 223.5 (-129) after it opened @ 216.5 (-113).
Pros
- The Titans boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Tim Kelly, and our trusted projections expect their pass/run mix to skew 1.9% more towards passing than it did last year (adjusted for context).
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, compelling opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 4th-most passes in football (40.0 per game) this year.
- This year, the poor Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has yielded a colossal 276.0 adjusted passing yards per game to opposing offenses: the 4th-worst in football.
- This year, the deficient Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has been gouged for the 4th-most yards-after-the-catch in football to opposing teams: a staggering 5.79 YAC.
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers safeties profile as the 3rd-worst unit in football this year in covering receivers.
Cons
- Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Titans to pass on 53.4% of their opportunities: the 2nd-lowest rate among all teams this week.
- The model projects the Titans to call the 9th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 62.8 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.
- The Titans have called the 6th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a mere 54.5 plays per game.
- The Tennessee offensive line ranks as the 9th-worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a harmful effect on all pass attack stats across the board.
Projection
THE BLITZ
197
Passing Yards
197
Passing Yards
