Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Taylor HeinickePassing Yards
Player Props – Week 10
Cardinals vs. Falcons
Right now, Taylor Heinicke’s passing yards prop is set at 222.5 yards (-110/-110).
Pros
- Based on their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Falcons are projected by the predictive model to call 66.2 plays on offense in this contest: the 4th-most on the slate this week.
- The 6th-highest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Atlanta Falcons this year (a whopping 62.0 per game on average).
- This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
- In regards to protecting the passer (and the positive impact it has on all passing game statistics), the O-line of the Atlanta Falcons grades out as the 10th-best in the NFL this year.
- Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 10th-highest rate in the league vs. the Arizona Cardinals defense this year (73.3% Adjusted Completion%).
Cons
- The predictive model expects the Atlanta Falcons as the 3rd-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 53.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
- Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 33.6 pass attempts per game against the Cardinals defense this year: 7th-fewest in the NFL.
- Taylor Heinicke’s 51.9% Adjusted Completion% this year shows a significant diminishment in his throwing precision over last year’s 63.0% figure.
Projection
THE BLITZ
215
Passing Yards
215
Passing Yards
