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Week 10 Player Props: Passing Yards for Taylor Heinicke from EV Insight

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Taylor Heinicke

Taylor HeinickePassing Yards

Player Props – Week 10

Cardinals vs. Falcons

Right now, Taylor Heinicke’s passing yards prop is set at 222.5 yards (-110/-110).

Pros

  • Based on their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Falcons are projected by the predictive model to call 66.2 plays on offense in this contest: the 4th-most on the slate this week.
  • The 6th-highest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Atlanta Falcons this year (a whopping 62.0 per game on average).
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • In regards to protecting the passer (and the positive impact it has on all passing game statistics), the O-line of the Atlanta Falcons grades out as the 10th-best in the NFL this year.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 10th-highest rate in the league vs. the Arizona Cardinals defense this year (73.3% Adjusted Completion%).
Cons

  • The predictive model expects the Atlanta Falcons as the 3rd-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 53.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 33.6 pass attempts per game against the Cardinals defense this year: 7th-fewest in the NFL.
  • Taylor Heinicke’s 51.9% Adjusted Completion% this year shows a significant diminishment in his throwing precision over last year’s 63.0% figure.

Projection
THE BLITZ
215
Passing Yards

Previous Week 10 Player Props: Receiving Yards for David Njoku from EV Insight Next Week 10 Player Props: Receiving Yards for CeeDee Lamb from EV Insight