Week 14 DVOA NFL Picks
Aaron Schatz
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|
|
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---|---|---|---|---|---|
Games
|
|
12
|
12
|
16
|
13
|
Snap Percentage
|
|
91.3%
|
92.3%
|
97.3%
|
98.8%
|
Dropbacks
|
|
420
|
352
|
494
|
462
|
Completions
|
|
246
|
203
|
307
|
293
|
Attempts
|
|
382
|
326
|
457
|
439
|
Completion Percentage
|
|
64.4%
|
62.3%
|
67.2%
|
66.7%
|
Passing Yards
|
|
2,882
|
2,242
|
3,678
|
3,756
|
Average Depth of Target
|
|
9.1
|
8.4
|
8.4
|
8.7
|
Yards Per Attempt
|
|
7.5
|
6.9
|
8.0
|
8.6
|
Yards Per Completion
|
|
11.7
|
11.0
|
12.0
|
12.8
|
Passing Touchdowns
|
|
16
|
17
|
24
|
33
|
Interceptions
|
|
13
|
7
|
7
|
3
|
Passer Rating
|
|
87.0
|
91.1
|
102.7
|
115.6
|
PPR
|
|
249
|
241
|
336
|
367
|
PPR Per Game
|
|
20.8
|
20.1
|
21.0
|
28.2
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Attempts
|
|
133
|
112
|
148
|
111
|
Attempts Per Game
|
|
11.1
|
9.3
|
9.3
|
8.5
|
Carry Share
|
|
35.7%
|
30.5%
|
28.7%
|
27.3%
|
Rushing Yards
|
|
767
|
764
|
821
|
658
|
Yards Per Attempt
|
|
5.8
|
6.8
|
5.5
|
5.9
|
Avoided Tackles
|
|
27
|
32
|
23
|
18
|
Avoided Tackle Rate
|
|
20.3%
|
28.6%
|
15.5%
|
16.2%
|
Scrambles
|
|
50
|
26
|
66
|
35
|
Scramble Rate
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37.6%
|
23.2%
|
44.6%
|
31.5%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Attempts
|
|
53
|
41
|
57
|
58
|
Completions
|
|
18
|
12
|
18
|
18
|
Completion Percentage
|
|
34.0%
|
29.3%
|
31.6%
|
31.0%
|
Attempt Rate
|
|
13.9%
|
12.6%
|
12.5%
|
15.3%
|
Passing Yards
|
|
597
|
374
|
669
|
623
|
Touchdowns
|
|
4
|
3
|
4
|
3
|
Interceptions
|
|
4
|
3
|
2
|
1
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Dropbacks
|
|
54
|
59
|
68
|
58
|
Attempts
|
|
50
|
57
|
64
|
54
|
Completion Percentage
|
|
58.0%
|
47.4%
|
67.2%
|
68.5%
|
Passing Yards
|
|
207
|
203
|
282
|
305
|
Touchdowns
|
|
12
|
13
|
17
|
24
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Air Yards
|
|
3,482
|
2,752
|
3,831
|
3,208
|
First Downs
|
|
137
|
106
|
168
|
155
|
Clean Pocket Completion Percentage
|
|
69.0%
|
67.4%
|
70.7%
|
73.7%
|
Passing EPA
|
|
32.1
|
40.7
|
76.3
|
144.1
|
Passing EPA Per Play
|
|
0.076
|
0.116
|
0.155
|
0.362
|
First Read Throws
|
|
0
|
166
|
240
|
158
|
Highlight Throws
|
|
19
|
15
|
30
|
9
|
Highlight Throw Percentage
|
|
5.0%
|
4.6%
|
6.6%
|
2.4%
|
Interception Worthy Throws
|
|
22
|
18
|
13
|
9
|
Interception Worthy Throw Percentage
|
|
5.8%
|
5.5%
|
2.8%
|
2.4%
|
Drops
|
|
14
|
15
|
17
|
7
|
Drop Percentage
|
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4.4%
|
5.4%
|
4.1%
|
2.0%
|
|
|
|
|
|
---|---|---|---|---|
Man Percentage
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52.9%
|
53.0%
|
43.0%
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Man Completion Percentage
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|
58.5%
|
62.8%
|
66.0%
|
Zone Percentage
|
|
47.1%
|
47.0%
|
57.0%
|
Zone Completion Percentage
|
|
65.7%
|
72.3%
|
68.6%
|
Man Passer Rating
|
|
91.6
|
112.1
|
127.2
|
Zone Passer Rating
|
|
84.5
|
98.5
|
112.5
|
Man Yards Per Attempt
|
|
5.7
|
7.8
|
9.8
|
Zone Yards Per Attempt
|
|
6.6
|
7.4
|
9.4
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Dropbacks
|
|
139
|
102
|
96
|
107
|
Completions
|
|
94
|
64
|
69
|
79
|
Attempts
|
|
135
|
96
|
94
|
103
|
Completion Percentage
|
|
69.6%
|
66.7%
|
73.4%
|
76.7%
|
Attempt Rate
|
|
35.3%
|
29.4%
|
20.6%
|
27.2%
|
Passing Yards
|
|
1,181
|
662
|
971
|
1,092
|
Yards Per Attempt
|
|
8.7
|
6.9
|
10.3
|
10.6
|
Touchdowns
|
|
2
|
4
|
9
|
9
|
Interceptions
|
|
3
|
1
|
1
|
0
|
Passer Rating
|
|
92.2
|
95.9
|
133.8
|
139.3
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pressures
|
|
152
|
94
|
142
|
120
|
Pressure Rate
|
|
36.2%
|
26.7%
|
28.7%
|
30.2%
|
Completion Percentage
|
|
53.5%
|
42.6%
|
55.2%
|
48.5%
|
Yards Per Attempt
|
|
7.5
|
5.1
|
7.5
|
6.5
|
Touchdowns
|
|
6
|
4
|
4
|
7
|
Interceptions
|
|
4
|
3
|
1
|
0
|
Hits
|
|
27
|
37
|
62
|
41
|
Hit Rate
|
|
6.4%
|
10.5%
|
12.6%
|
10.3%
|
Sacks
|
|
38
|
26
|
36
|
19
|
Sack Rate
|
|
9.0%
|
7.4%
|
7.3%
|
4.8%
|
Protection Rate
|
|
66.2%
|
79.0%
|
4.9%
|
3.5%
|
Pressure to Sack Rate
|
|
25.0%
|
27.7%
|
25.4%
|
15.8%
|
Blitzes
|
|
153
|
115
|
163
|
133
|
Blitz Rate
|
|
36.4%
|
32.7%
|
33.0%
|
33.4%
|
Average Time to Throw
|
|
2.7
|
2.8
|
2.7
|
2.9
|