Team Profile
Denver Broncos
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-7.3% 21stOff DVOA
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5.7% 21stPassing DVOA
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-16.1% 29thRushing DVOA
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-13.6% 4thDef DVOA
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-7.5% 6thDef Passing DVOA
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-23.7% 2ndDef Rushing DVOA
2024 Team Stats
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Points For25.5 10th
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Points Against19.5 5th
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Yards Per Game315.0 21st
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Yards Allowed Per Game321.0 10th
Denver Broncos rookie quarterback Bo Nix led his team to their eighth win of the season in a 41-32 shootout win over the Cleveland Browns on Monday night in Week 13. There wasn't much in the way of defense in this one on either side, with Nix getting out-gunned by Jameis Winston, who threw for nearly 500 yards on the night. The 24-year-old Nix avoided sacks and finished just shy of 300 yards passing for the second time in three weeks, but he also threw two interceptions, with the first being a tipped ball that caromed high into the air, and the second one being an aggressive deep shot down the field in which he overthrew his receiver. The picks were his first since Week 9 against Baltimore, and his TD pass was a 93-yard strike to receiver Marvin Mims Jr. that was a perfect pass in a tight window. Nix has entered the low-end QB1 picture with strong performances of late and will get the Colts in Week 15 after a bye.
Denver Broncos kicker Wil Lutz will once again be a top-10 fantasy kicking option in Week 13 when the Broncos face the visiting Cleveland Browns on Monday Night Football. The Broncos offense is peaking under impressive rookie quarterback Bo Nix, which has in turn given Lutz more fantasy upside and more kicking opportunities. The 30-year-old veteran made a season-high five field goals in the Week 12 win over the Raiders and is now tied for 13th among kickers with 8.2 fantasy points per game. Lutz has also been one of the more accurate kickers in the league in his last two years with Denver. He's only missed three of his 27 field-goal attempts in 2024, with one being blocked and another from 60-plus yards out. Against a Browns defense that has allowed 24.3 points per game this year (11th most), Lutz should have a pretty safe floor as a starting fantasy kicker on Monday evening.
Denver Broncos wide receiver Lil'Jordan Humphrey is second on the team this year in targets behind Courtland Sutton, but he cannot be trusted in starting fantasy lineups for the Monday night matchup in Week 13 against the Cleveland Browns. The matchup is a good one for fantasy purposes, with the Browns allowing the seventh-most half-PPR points per game to the position, but Humphrey could see even more competition for targets if Josh Reynolds (hand) returns from Injured Reserve. In addition, rookie Devaughn Vele has been more involved of late and has essentially become rookie QB Bo Nix's No. 2 target behind Sutton. The best fantasy managers can hope for with Humphrey is that he uses his after-the-catch skills to break a big play. Humphrey has scored only once in 2024, has gone over five catches in a game only once and has 50-plus yards only twice in 12 games.
Denver Broncos rookie wide receiver Devaughn Vele has ascended to the role of WR2 in Denver over the last several weeks and is worth considering as a WR4/flex for starting fantasy lineups for Monday night's game against the visiting Cleveland Browns. Since Josh Reynolds (hand) went on Injured Reserve after Week 5, Vele has played over 60% of the offensive snaps in four of seven games, including each of the last three. In the last three weeks, the 26-year-old seventh-rounder out of Utah has caught 14 of his 18 targets for 185 yards (13.21 yards per catch) and a touchdown. He has only scored once in his first eight NFL games, but his role is growing and he's shown good chemistry with rookie quarterback Bo Nix. Reynolds could return from IR to play this weekend, but we'd be surprised if Vele doesn't have a big role against a Browns defense that has allowed the seventh-most fantasy points to WRs per game.
Denver Broncos wide receiver Courtland Sutton has gone from being a touchdown-dependent WR4/flex this year to being a top-15 pass-catching option for fantasy managers heading into a Monday night primetime showdown against the Cleveland Browns in Week 13. Thanks to 36 receptions (48 targets) for 467 yards and three touchdowns, Sutton is tied with Cooper Kupp for second in football (behind only Ja'Marr Chase) in half-PPR points in the last five games. The 29-year-old finished three yards shy of his third 100-yard game in last week's win over the Raiders and also scored twice. Sutton suddenly has become a must-start for fantasy managers as improving rookie quarterback Bo Nix's go-to target in the passing game. He has at least eight targets in the last five weeks and ranks sixth among all WRs with 95 targets. Start Sutton against a Browns defense that allows the seventh-most fantasy points to WRs.