Prime-Time First TD Bets — Monday Night Football, Week 16
Alex Christenson
Team Profile
Cleveland Browns
3-14-0
4th
AFC North
-
-30.9% 32ndOff DVOA
-
-29.1% 32ndPassing DVOA
-
-16.7% 29thRushing DVOA
-
4.5% 24thDef DVOA
-
17.5% 27thDef Passing DVOA
-
-10.4% 14thDef Rushing DVOA
2024 Team Stats
-
Points For15.2 32nd
-
Points Against25.6 25th
-
Yards Per Game305.0 26th
-
Yards Allowed Per Game336.0 17th
Ftn model pick
87.31%
12.69%
| Edge | Win % | Sportbook | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Spread
|
|
|
|
|
|
Moneyline
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total
|
|
|
|
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Matchup Stats
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Starting lineup
Matchup STATS
Rank
Total
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
15.2
|
32 nd
|
21.2
|
8 th
|
Points Per Game
|
30.5
|
3 rd
|
25.6
|
25 th
|
|
305.0
|
26 th
|
330.0
|
14 th
|
Yards Per Game
|
423.0
|
1 st
|
336.0
|
17 th
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3,332
|
20 th
|
3,980
|
30 th
|
Passing Yards
|
3,818
|
6 th
|
3,394
|
13 th
|
|
5.3
|
32 nd
|
6.7
|
17 th
|
Pass Yards per Attempt
|
8.6
|
1 st
|
7.1
|
26 th
|
|
18
|
26 th
|
26
|
20 th
|
Passing Touchdowns
|
39
|
2 nd
|
24
|
16 th
|
|
21
|
31 st
|
10
|
21 st
|
Interceptions
|
4
|
2 nd
|
4
|
32 nd
|
|
|
nd
|
|
rd
|
Interception Worthy Throws
|
|
rd
|
|
th
|
|
|
nd
|
|
st
|
Catchable Air Yards
|
|
nd
|
|
th
|
|
|
st
|
|
th
|
Pass Rate
|
|
th
|
|
th
|
|
|
nd
|
|
nd
|
Explosive Pass Rate
|
|
th
|
|
th
|
|
|
th
|
|
th
|
Man Coverage Rate
|
|
rd
|
|
th
|
|
|
th
|
|
th
|
Zone Coverage Rate
|
|
th
|
|
th
|
|
|
th
|
|
th
|
Man Yards Per Attempt
|
|
st
|
|
th
|
|
|
th
|
|
rd
|
Zone Yards Per Attempt
|
|
th
|
|
st
|
|
|
th
|
|
th
|
Pressure Rate
|
|
th
|
|
st
|
|
|
th
|
|
th
|
Time to Throw
|
|
th
|
|
nd
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1,552
|
28 th
|
1,305
|
1 st
|
Rushing Yards
|
2,944
|
2 nd
|
1,985
|
19 th
|
|
4.2
|
16 th
|
3.6
|
1 st
|
Rushing Yards Per Attempt
|
5.7
|
1 st
|
4.4
|
12 th
|
|
8
|
30 th
|
12
|
8 th
|
Rushing Touchdowns
|
19
|
6 th
|
20
|
27 th
|
|
18
|
24 th
|
15
|
16 th
|
Fumbles
|
14
|
13 th
|
13
|
22 nd
|
|
31.7%
|
32 nd
|
33.5%
|
4 th
|
Rush Rate
|
48.6%
|
3 rd
|
44.0%
|
23 rd
|
|
|
th
|
|
st
|
Yards Before Contact
|
|
nd
|
|
th
|
|
|
th
|
|
st
|
Yards After Contact
|
|
st
|
|
st
|
|
|
rd
|
|
th
|
Missed Tackle Rate
|
|
th
|
|
rd
|
|
|
th
|
|
th
|
Stuffed Run Rate
|
|
rd
|
|
st
|
|
|
th
|
|
st
|
Explosive Run Rate
|
|
nd
|
|
st
|
Player Projections
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
18.9
|
34.4
|
54.9
|
213.3
|
6.2
|
0.7
|
1.3
|
10.9
|
10.8
|
||
|
-
|
-
|
0.1
|
3.2
|
0.5
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
16.6
|
49.0
|
3.0
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
1.5
|
14.3
|
-
|
8.8
|
|
|
6.3
|
17.7
|
2.8
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
1.4
|
19.8
|
-
|
5.3
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.0
|
71.3
|
14.2
|
0.2
|
-
|
-
|
10.9
|
|
|
3.3
|
33.1
|
9.9
|
0.2
|
-
|
-
|
6.3
|
|
|
3.2
|
28.6
|
8.9
|
0.1
|
0.2
|
-
|
5.1
|
|
|
1.8
|
18.0
|
10.0
|
0.1
|
-
|
-
|
3.2
|
|
|
1.7
|
17.3
|
10.3
|
0.1
|
-
|
-
|
3.1
|
|
|
0.9
|
10.9
|
12.8
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
1.5
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
16.9
|
25.7
|
65.5
|
252.6
|
9.8
|
1.7
|
0.2
|
49.5
|
0.4
|
23.5
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
18.4
|
105.4
|
5.7
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
1.4
|
16.3
|
0.1
|
20.2
|
|
|
3.4
|
21.7
|
6.4
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
1.1
|
14.4
|
-
|
4.8
|
|
|
2.4
|
10.8
|
4.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.7
|
5.1
|
-
|
2.6
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.7
|
76.3
|
16.3
|
0.5
|
2.1
|
-
|
12.8
|
|
|
3.3
|
44.8
|
13.8
|
0.4
|
-
|
-
|
8.1
|
|
|
2.6
|
49.9
|
19.3
|
0.3
|
-
|
-
|
7.8
|
|
|
2.6
|
32.6
|
12.8
|
0.3
|
-
|
-
|
6.0
|
|
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
||
|
0.7
|
13.1
|
19.8
|
0.1
|
-
|
-
|
1.9
|
