NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
Darnell MooneyReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 2
Packers vs. Bears
Right now, Darnell Mooney’s receiving yards prop is set at 47.5 yards (-110/-110).
Pros
- The Bears are an enormous 10-point underdog in this week’s contest, indicating an extreme passing game script.
- The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
- Darnell Mooney has run a route on 93.1% of his team’s passing plays since the start of last season, ranking him in the 93rd percentile among WRs.
- THE BLITZ projects Darnell Mooney to accrue 7.2 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 83rd percentile among wide receivers.
- Darnell Mooney has totaled a colossal 85.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 89th percentile among wide receivers.
Cons
- The Chicago Bears boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Luke Getsy, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 2.1% more towards rushing than it did last season (in a neutral context).
- THE BLITZ projects the Chicago Bears as the 6th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 54.7% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects the Bears to call the 3rd-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 59.6 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- Darnell Mooney has been among the least efficient receivers in the league, averaging a measly 7.47 yards-per-target since the start of last season while checking in at the 23rd percentile among wideouts
Projection
THE BLITZ
53
Receiving Yards
53
Receiving Yards
