Team Profile
Miami Dolphins
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-14.6% 27thOff DVOA
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9.5% 21stPassing DVOA
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-19.9% 26thRushing DVOA
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21.2% 28thDef DVOA
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47.6% 30thDef Passing DVOA
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1.2% 23rdDef Rushing DVOA
2024 Team Stats
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Points For15.0 27th
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Points Against24.0 22nd
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Yards Per Game376.0 8th
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Yards Allowed Per Game257.0 4th
Miami Dolphins wide receiver Tyreek Hill has been a must-play option all season long and this game is no different, especially since he was removed from the injury report and is a full go. Even if Tua Tagovailoa doesn't register a great game, Hill usually finds a way to score and get close to 100 yards in the process. No matter if his targets are underneath or over top of the defense, he works in every way possible to secure more receptions. This game has added stakes not only due to the playoffs, but it's Hill's first time back in Kansas City ever since he was traded, and he's not one to shy away from the spotlight. Not everything is sunshine and rainbows though. This game is set to be one of the coldest games in NFL history and the Chiefs have one of the stingiest defenses against the passing game while L'Jarius Sneed will likely be covering Hill for most of the game. Hill's talent still makes him a top option in any given week.
Miami Dolphins running back De'Von Achane may see more than his fair share of work on Saturday due to both the weather and Raheem Mostert's (ankle/knee) questionable health status. Achane also made an appearance on the injury report this week, but has been removed and will suit up without limitations. In a game that's close to breaking records for the coldest NFL game at kickoff, there's likely to be more emphasis on the ground game than airing it out and risking turnovers in freezing cold wind. When these two teams faced off in Germany earlier in the year, Achane didn't get the chance to play against the middle-of-the-pack run defense. While the Kansas City Chiefs may not have given up the most rushing touchdowns, they're one the worst in yards per carry allowed at 4.5, and Achane is one of the best at explosive run rates. That combined could mean a big day for Achane.
Miami Dolphins quarterback Tua Tagovailoa has had moments as a top fantasy quarterback this season, but also as one of the worst. All year long, he's been an all-or-nothing fantasy piece and since Week 14 he's posted QB2-type numbers. In their final two games, the offense scored a combined 33 points compared to allowing 77. To make matters even worse, the forecast calls for bitter cold that will make it one of NFL history's coldest games of all time. In the last 10 games, dating back to 2017, when the kickoff temperature was 40 degrees or colder, the Dolphins are 0-10. While Tagovailoa does have the potential to pop off given his threats at wide receiver, this cold-weather game doesn't seem to play in his favor.
Miami Dolphins head coach Mike McDaniel said that wide receiver Jaylen Waddle (ankle) will be listed as questionable for Saturday's wild-card playoff game versus the Kansas City Chiefs. Waddle missed the final two regular season games, but the Dolphins have been optimistic that he'll return for the first round of the playoffs this weekend. The 25-year-old got in two limited practices on Tuesday and Wednesday, so he should be considered on the right side of questionable. Waddle has a decent DraftKings price considering he went for 1,000 yards receiving in the regular season, but he could be limited due to his high-ankle sprain if he plays, and the Chiefs defense has been very stingy on opposing pass-catchers this season.
Miami Dolphins head coach Mike McDaniel said that running back Raheem Mostert (ankle, knee) will be listed as questionable for Saturday's wild-card playoff game versus the Kansas City Chiefs. Mostert was held out of the final two regular season games, but the good news is he was limited in practice on Tuesday and Wednesday and there is optimism that he'll play this weekend in Kansas City. The 31-year-old led all offensive skill players in 2023 with 21 total touchdowns (18 rushing, three receiving), but he's limping into the postseason and is a candidate to cede valuable backfield touches to explosive rookie De'Von Achane if he gets the green light to play on Saturday. If Mostert is active, he'll be a boom/bust, touchdown-dependent DFS option in a tough matchup on the road in expected freezing temperatures.