Prime-Time First TD Bets — Monday Night Football, Week 16
Alex Christenson
Jalen HurtsPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 16
Eagles vs. Giants
Right now, Jalen Hurts’s passing yards prop is set at 238.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 238.5 (-110) after it opened @ 233.5 (-110).
Pros
- To the extent of a defense’s impact on tempo, at 27.47 seconds per snap, the predictive model expects the Philadelphia Eagles as the 5th-fastest in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment.
- The Eagles O-line grades out as the best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive influence on all passing offense statistics across the board.
- The New York Giants defense has been vulnerable when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, giving up an average of 5.12 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year: the 2nd-most in the league.
- When it comes to cornerbacks in covering pass-catchers, New York’s CB corps has been dreadful this year, grading out as the worst in the NFL.
Cons
- An extreme rushing game script is indicated by the Eagles being a heavy 14-point favorite in this week’s contest.
- The predictive model expects the Philadelphia Eagles as the least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 48.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- In this game, Jalen Hurts is anticipated by the predictive model to wind up with the fewest pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 29.7.
Projection
THE BLITZ
216
Passing Yards
216
Passing Yards
