Prime-Time First TD Bets — Monday Night Football, Week 16
Alex Christenson
Trevor LawrencePassing Yards
Player Props – Week 14
Browns vs. Jaguars
Right now, Trevor Lawrence’s passing yards prop is set at 210.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 210.5 (-110) after it opened @ 200.5 (-110).
Pros
- Our trusted projections expect the Jaguars to be the 9th-most pass-focused offense in football (context-neutralized) right now with a 63.4% pass rate.
- Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Jacksonville Jaguars are forecasted by the projections to run 65.7 total plays in this contest: the 8th-most on the slate this week.
- The Jacksonville Jaguars have called the 7th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling just 55.2 plays per game.
Cons
- Opposing QBs teams have been unwilling to test the pass defense of the Cleveland Browns, averaging the fewest attempts in the NFL (just 28.2 per game) this year.
- This year, the strong Cleveland Browns defense has conceded a mere 165.0 adjusted passing yards per game to opposing offenses: the best in football.
- This year, the fierce Browns defense has given up a meager 61.6% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the smallest rate in the NFL.
- As it relates to defensive ends getting after the quarterback, Cleveland’s DE corps has been great this year, profiling as the best in the NFL.
Projection
THE BLITZ
202
Passing Yards
202
Passing Yards
