Team Profile
Denver Broncos
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-7.2% 21stOff DVOA
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6.1% 21stPassing DVOA
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-16.5% 29thRushing DVOA
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-14.3% 4thDef DVOA
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-8% 6thDef Passing DVOA
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-24.7% 1stDef Rushing DVOA
2024 Team Stats
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Points For25.5 10th
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Points Against19.5 6th
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Yards Per Game314.0 22nd
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Yards Allowed Per Game320.0 9th
Denver Broncos running back Javonte Williams will be facing a Kansas City Chiefs defense in Week 10 that has allowed the fewest PPR points per game to the running back position through nine weeks of the 2024 season. That won't give fantasy managers much confidence in Williams, who has produced double-digit half-PPR points just twice in nine games this year, with one of those games being his two-touchdown breakout in Week 7 against the New Orleans Saints. Williams hasn't scored in any other game and will need to be much more efficient than he's been this year to return any kind of value in Week 10. The only good news is that Williams has seen at least 17 touches in four of the last six games as Denver's clear lead back. The 24-year-old enters Week 10 as a low-upside RB3/flex and has averaged 9.6 half-PPR points this year, which ranks 32nd among RBs.
Denver Broncos rookie quarterback Bo Nix threw for a season-high 284 yards and three touchdowns in the Week 8 win over the Carolina Panthers before coming back down to Earth in the Week 9 blowout loss on the road to the Baltimore Ravens, when he threw for 223 yards, no touchdowns and his first interception since Week 6. While Nix has looked much better in recent weeks than he did at the start of his rookie campaign, things won't get any easier in Week 10 on the road against the undefeated and division-rival Kansas City Chiefs. KC's defense has allowed just over 200 passing yards per game in nine games in 2024 and have been middle of the pack in terms of fantasy points allowed to opposing QBs. Nix actually checks in as the QB11 in overall fantasy points entering Week 10, but he should be considered more of a low-end QB2 on the road against the reigning Super Bowl champions.
Denver Broncos head coach Sean Payton said he expects to use rookie running back Audric Estime more down the stretch in 2024. Estime played only 10 percent of the offensive snaps in the Week 9 blowout loss to the Baltimore Ravens on Sunday but had as many carries (five) as Jaleel McLaughlin and was more efficient with 35 rushing yards. The 35 yards on the ground was a season-high for the 21-year-old fifth-round selection out of Notre Dame, and he's been quite efficient with 6.3 yards per carry on his 15 rushing attempts through the first five games of his career. Estime probably still won't be worth adding in 12-team fantasy leagues, but this statement from Payton is surely bad news for McLaughlin, who has averaged 3.9 yards per tote in 2024 after averaging 5.4 yards per carry in his rookie campaign in 2023.
Denver Broncos kicker Wil Lutz only attempted two kicks in the team's 41-10 blowout loss to the Baltimore Ravens on the road on Sunday in Week 9. Both his field-goal attempt (successful from 37 yards out) and his lone extra-point try came in the second quarter of action, and the Broncos offense wasn't able to score the rest of the day. Lutz has now put up back-to-back disappointing showings for any fantasy managers that have used him as a streaming option -- he made just four extra points in the Week 8 win over the Carolina Panthers. The 30-year-old veteran has missed just one of his 19 field-goal tries in 2024 and has made all 17 of his extra points to make him a top-10 fantasy kicker, but the volatile nature of the Broncos' offense makes him a boom/bust play heading into Week 10 versus the division-rival Kansas City Chiefs.
Denver Broncos wide receiver Lil'Jordan Humphrey contributed very little in the team's 41-10 blowout loss to the hosting Baltimore Ravens on Sunday in Week 9, catching two of his five targets for a measly 11 yards. The good news is Humphrey played the second-most offensive snaps among wideouts behind Courtland Sutton, and his five targets were also second-most on the team behind Sutton's 10 in a game in which the Broncos were shut down by a Ravens defense that had been struggling coming into this contest. The 26-year-old former undrafted free agent out of Texas has impressive after-the-catch abilities and should continue to have an expanded role for as long as Josh Reynolds (finger) remains out, but fantasy managers just can't trust any Broncos receiver outside of Sutton for weekly production. Through nine games, Humphrey has 21 catches, 188 yards and no touchdowns.