Team Profile
Denver Broncos
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-7.3% 21stOff DVOA
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5.7% 21stPassing DVOA
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-16.1% 29thRushing DVOA
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-13.6% 4thDef DVOA
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-7.5% 6thDef Passing DVOA
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-23.7% 2ndDef Rushing DVOA
2024 Team Stats
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Points For25.5 10th
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Points Against19.5 5th
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Yards Per Game314.0 22nd
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Yards Allowed Per Game320.0 8th
Denver Broncos kicker Wil Lutz is as close to a must-start in fantasy this weekend as he'll be all year as he takes on the division-rival Las Vegas Raiders in Week 12. The Broncos' offense is peaking right under rookie quarterback Bo Nix after putting up a season-high 38 points in the Week 11 win over the Atlanta Falcons, and the Raiders have allowed the most fantasy points per game to opposing kickers. Back in the Week 5 win over Vegas, Lutz converted on both of his field-goal attempts (one from 50-plus yards) and made all four of his extra points. The 30-year-old veteran has missed only three of his 22 field-goal attempts this year, with one being blocked and another coming from over 60 yards out. Lutz's 81 fantasy points on the year rank him as the No. 9 fantasy kicker, and his 22 field-goal attempts are tied for eighth. Lutz is easily a top-10 fantasy kicker heading into Sunday's game against the Raiders.
Denver Broncos wide receiver Lil'Jordan Humphrey had his best game of 2024 in the Week 11 blowout win over the Atlanta Falcons, catching all four of his targets for a season-high 52 yards and his first touchdown of the year. Humphrey will be looking for a second straight strong game this Sunday against the division-rival Las Vegas Raiders and their beat-up secondary. The 26-year-old played only 44% of the offensive snaps last week, though, and faces plenty of competition for targets alongside Courtland Sutton, Marvin Mims Jr. and rookies Devaughn Vele and Troy Franklin. Rookie QB Bo Nix has been spreading the ball around all year to wideouts not named Sutton, too, making it mostly a crapshoot for which receiver might have the best game behind Sutton. Fantasy managers playing him as a WR5/flex in deep leagues are merely hoping for a couple big plays and potentially another TD.
Denver Broncos rookie wide receiver Devaughn Vele should be considered a WR5/flex for fantasy managers heading into a plus matchup against the division-rival Las Vegas Raiders on the road in Week 12. Vele, a seventh-rounder back in April, has taken on a bigger role in Denver's passing attack ever since Josh Reynolds (hand) landed on Injured Reserve. The 26-year-old had his second-highest receiving yardage total (66 yards) in the Week 11 blowout win over the Atlanta Falcons and also came up 12 yards shy of Courtland Sutton's yardage total. However, Vele has also been under 40 receiving yards in five of his seven games in his rookie season. The Raiders secondary will be missing several key pieces on Sunday, which is good news, but Denver's offense may not need to throw the ball much in this one to win easily. Vele profiles as more of a desperation flex option for fantasy managers in deeper leagues.
Denver Broncos wide receiver Courtland Sutton comes into the Week 12 divisional contest against the division-rival Las Vegas Raiders having produced at least six catches and 70 yards in each of the last four games. Since a zero-target game in Week 7 versus the New Orleans Saints, Sutton has 28 receptions on 38 targets for 370 yards and a touchdown while also throwing for a touchdown. The Raiders defense hasn't been that bad against opposing wideouts this year in terms of fantasy points allowed, but they'll be without cornerbacks Jakorian Bennett (shoulder) and Nate Hobbs (ankle) this weekend, and possibly Jack Jones (back). Sutton was held to only two catches for 32 yards in the Week 5 win over the Raiders in Denver, but we'd expect better production this time around with Denver's offense surging. In the last five weeks, Sutton has averaged 14.3 half-PPR points, good for 10th among all receivers.
Denver Broncos rookie running back Audric Estime could have a decent workload in the Week 12 road tilt against the division-rival Las Vegas Raiders at Allegiant Stadium on Sunday. The Broncos have made it a point to get the rookie more involved of late, with him seeing 28 touches for 113 scrimmage yards in the last three games. While it might have been a bit premature to assume Estime would be Denver's lead back the rest of the season over Javonte Williams after he led the backfield in the Week 10 loss to the Kansas City Chiefs, it's safe to say he's now the RB2 over Jaleel McLaughlin. Against a beat up Raiders defense that allows 22.5 half-PPR points per game to RBs this year (tied for seventh-most in the league), Estime has RB3/flex upside in a plus matchup, especially with fantasy managers needing help at RB with six teams on bye this week.