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THIRD BASE: A DIFFICULT CASE

MLB COUNTER = 13.6% of the season complete

Third base can be a challenging position to fill in fantasy. But this year it seems even more difficult, as we lost two key players shortly after drafts took place in Royce Lewis and Josh Jung. In addition, Noelvi Marte was suspended for 80 games on March 8, further slimming the pool of available players. So perhaps this was a good time to review which third sackers are providing value and which are not in fantasy thus far.

Shake Weight GIF

Listed below are the top 24 third basemen as drafted in the Main Event. How many are busts (rated XX or X below) and how many are providing value? It turns out that according to my sophisticated supercomputer, we have the following array of performance… 

KEY
(5) XX: Out for a long stretch or not producing at all
(4) X: Out for a short period or producing below expectations
(3) 0: Mediocre results thus far 
(8) +: Solid results to date
(4) ++: Producing well above expectations

As you can see, nine of the top 24 are not doing all that well (based on the five rotisserie categories for the NFBC Main Event), with the five rated XX really hurting those who drafted them. On the other hand, 12 third basemen are doing quite well, and for fantasy managers, they have returned at least a solid performance. And four of those 12 are really producing great results, including Elly De La Cruz (high average with strong power and 10 steals to boot), Gunnar Henderson (solid across-the-board performance), Spencer Steer (hitting well above .300) and Ryan McMahon (hitting .324 – outstanding)!

UPDATED THROUGH SATURDAY, APRIL 20

Drafted as 3B#Third BasemanMain Event ADPRATINGStats Through 4/20
1Jose Ramirez16X.239~15 R~3 HR~18 RBI~1 SB
2Elly De La Cruz20++.290~19 R~6 HR~15 RBI~10 SB
3Austin Riley210.259~14 R~2 HR~12 RBI~0 SB
4Rafael Devers27XDay to Day w/Knee injury (.188~2 HR~0 SB)
5Gunnar Henderson36++.284~14 R~6 HR~15 RBI~4 SB
6Royce Lewis59XXOut w/Quad Injury (1.000~1 HR~ 0 SB)
7Manny Machado59+.250~15 R~4 HR~12 RBI~0 SB
8Alex Bregman98XX.225~3 R~0 HR~5 RBI~1 SB
9Ha-Seong Kim98+.232~12 R~3 HR~13 RBI~4 SB
10Spencer Steer115++.324~15 R~3 HR~18 RBI~4 SB
11Nolan Arenado120X.298~7 R~1 HR~11 RBI~0 SB
12Ke’Bryan Hayes123XX.264~10 R~0 HR~7 RBI~1 SB
13Josh Jung145XXOut w/Wrist Injury (.412~2 HR~ 1 SB)
14Jake Burger159XOut with Intercostal Strain (.228~3 HR~ 0 SB)
15Christopher Morel1650.205~13 R~3 HR~11 RBI~0 SB
16Maikel Garcia170+.181~9 R~3 HR~13 RBI~4 SB
17Alex Bohm179+.261~9 R~3 HR~17 RBI~1 SB
18Isaac Paredes205+.270~9 R~5 HR~14 RBI~0 SB
19Jeimer Candelario2060.183~8 R~2 HR~7 RBI~0 SB
20Max Muncy209+.240~12 R~4 HR~14 RBI~0 SB
21Ryan McMahon245++.342~8 R~2 HR~11 RBI~0 SB
22Luis Rengifo264+.263~7 R~0 HR~5 RBI~6 SB
23Matt Chapman269+.224~12 R~4 HR~12 RBI~2 SB
24Colt Keith298XX.183~4 R~0 HR~5 RBI~1 SB

Most Common FAAB Pickups in the Main Event: Turning the Pages

A Punt Ok GIF by Apala 9

FAAB #5 (our weekly look at how these top owners are spending their fictional $1,000 free agent acquisition budget in the Main Event) is solidly in the heavy FAAB season. In this latest one (Sunday, April 21), the bidding was fairly aggressive, but still not as high as we have seen in past years. The top 10 widest acquisitions this week are in the chart below, and Andy Pages (LAD) and Jonatan Clase (SEA) were added in the most leagues (all 57). Pages had the higher bids because he is playing regularly for the vaunted Dodgers lineup and has two homers and a steal in his limited time in the majors. Clase, for his part, is just 5-for-40 but has a homer and three steals, so fantasy managers looking for help in stolen bases were attracted to his services.

The No. 3 most-added player was surprise Baltimore starter Albert Suarez, who stymied the Twins last Wednesday over 5.2 scoreless innings. And speaking of shutout innings, Mitchell Parker of Washington supplied seven of them against the Astros on Sunday. As thanks, Main Event owners almost made him universally owned just a few hours later. Six other players were added in 40 or more leagues: Sean Bouchard of Colorado (great schedule this week), Mark Leiter Jr. and Hector Neris of the Chicago Cubs (which one will close?), Wilyer Abreu of Boston (might be the regular outfielder), Miguel Sano of the Los Angeles Angels (has he rediscovered his power stroke?) and Michael Massey of Kansas City (back from injury for KC).

NFBC Main Event – Most Added Players

Player# of Leagues AddedReasonHighest Winning BidLowest Winning Bid
Andy Pages572 HR for LAD26640
Jonatan Clase57Speedy OF in SEA15211
Albert Suarez555.2 scoreless vs. MIN928
Mitchell Parker547 Shutout IP vs. HOU1772
Sean Bouchard53Coors Field & Mexico873
Mark Leiter Jr.49New Cubs Closer?1153
Wilyer Abreu45Solid PT for BOS35031
Hector Neris45New Cubs Closer?18517
Miguel Sano45Getting PT for LAA551
Michael Massey40Could be regular KC 2B551

Winning Bids over $100 and $200

Bidding Stock Market GIF by Pudgy Penguins

I’m also keeping tabs on players attracting the highest individual FAAB bids as well. In the fifth run on April 21 (see below), there were 14 $200-plus successful bids, one more than last week), for the following players (Wilyer Abreu – 4; Joel Payamps – 4; Andy Pages – 4; Luis Garcia (WAS) – 1; and Edward Cabrera – 1. In addition, there were 80 bids of $100-199 scattered across the player landscape as owners searched for options for the upcoming week.

Weekly Summary

FAAB DateOver $200Between $100 to $199
3/2419
3/315843
4/7123
4/141380
4/211480

The Wow Bid of the Week: Wilyer Pay Up for Me?

SNL gif. Chris Farley in the Schmitts Gay Beer sketch lifts the sunglass portion of his double lenses in stunned surprise.

So, this is the section where I reveal which player was the target of the highest bid this past Sunday, and it’s a player we’ve already mentioned. Wilyer Abreu’s services were won with a very strong $350 bid (third-highest bid so far in 2024), which had no problem overcoming an unsuccessful runner-up bid of $31. Abreu hit a lusty .333 with 1 HR and 3 SB this week and is now owned in all 57 Main Event leagues.

Are You Love GIF by Denyse®

FAAB Summary: The Spending Begins

In the first five FAAB weeks, Main Event owners have had 2,029 winning bids (the most so far) and have spent about $229 of their $1,000 allocation. This is still lower than the last three years at the five-week mark, but this is the second straight week we’ve breached the $60 per week (per team) threshold. Main Event owners are ready to spend if they get some attractive free agents in the pool. As you can see in the second chart below, this period traditionally shows the highest per team per week amounts:

2024: $229
2023: $296
2022: $244
2021: $318

The average Main Event week four winning bid was $28.33 this week, below previous years (generally in the $27-39 range).

2024 FAAB WeekTotal # of Winning BidsTotal FAAB Dollars SpentAverage Winning BidAverage Amount Spent (per team)Cumulative FAAB Spent (per team)
1310$4,929$15.90$5.76
21460$46,330$31.73$54.19$59.95
31728$34,480$19.95$40.33$100.28
41825$52,908$28.99$61.88$162.16
52029$57,486$28.33$67.24$229.40
TOTAL7352$196,133$26.68$229.40

Average FAAB $ Spent Per Season (2021-2024, per team)

FAAB Period2024 Average Spend 2023 Average Spend 2022 Average Spend 2021 Average Spend
1$5.76$8.46$11.29$9.89
2$54.19$63.55$51.24$86.71
3$40.33$70.01$65.29$85.95
4$61.88$86.51$62.57$67.98
5$67.24$67.77$53.82$67.41
6$77.52$71.32$66.39
7$93.31$83.64$47.16
8$75.35$65.81$42.71

The Colosseum

Pvp Elden Ring GIF by Xbox
Player# LeaguesStats (last 3 weeks)
Oswaldo Cabrera57.239 BA 1 HR 0 SB (8/7 R:RBI)
Jason Foley448.2 IP (8/6 K:BB) 2 W 4 SV 0.00 ERA 1.27 WHIP
Tyler Freeman39.208 BA 3 HR 1 SB (8/9 R:RBI)
Emerson Hancock3520.2 IP (15/3 K:BB) 2 W 0 SV 6.10 ERA 1.26 WHIP

Each week during the season, I’ll take a look at the four widest Main Event pickups from three weeks ago and evaluate whether it was a good addition based on the early stats (thumbs up); a bad idea (thumbs down); or simply a push. Three weeks ago we had our second FAAB run, and as you can see from the above stats, we had two somewhat mediocre pickups (Oswaldo Cabrera and Tyler Freeman). Both have not afforded real help in batting average, but the counting stats have been pretty good. We’ll grade them as pushes. Jason Foley, though, has been an outstanding addition. He has four saves and two wins and has yet to surrender an earned run. Finally, we almost had our first thumbs down in Emerson Hancock, but his strong showing last night gave him a second win and slimmed down his ratios. Well give him a push for now.

This gives the Main Event owners a strong leg up in 2024 with 5 thumbs up; 0 thumbs down; and 3 pushes, which could allow us to surpass the final 2023 total of 39 thumbs up for the season (44%), 36 down (41%) and 13 pushes (15%). The 2023 good pickups were the highest since I’ve been tracking it last year, compared to the 2022 good pickups mark of 39% and 24% in 2021.

Overall Leaderboard: A Big Diehl

Excited Big Deal GIF by Rooster Teeth

Greg Diehl isn’t bragging, he’s just being honest. He moved from fourth to first overall this week and says he intends to stay there. Greg only has two Main Event teams, but apparently that is all it took to grab the overall lead. He looks calm, he looks ready and he will be difficult to catch. However, Dave Rhydderch has the second overall (and 19th overall) teams, and could be difficult to get Rydd of (see what I did there?). Chris Uram checks into third (he was fifth last week), Robert DiPietro, the Pull Hitter himself, jumps from sixth to fourth and Jon Stadtmueller drops down the board a bit from second to fifth place overall.

Among the other top-30 contenders, Erik Sviggum is sixth, former overall champ Robert Cramutola is solidly in seventh, Bradley Libros is eighth, Eric Karlovic is ninth and Chris Boudreaux rounds out the top 10 overall. 

A few other notables in the top 31 (the top 31 are paid an overall prize at the end of the season – see below table) include Andy Saxton (11th), Glenn Schroter (12th), Nelson Sousa (drops from first to 13th but he also has the 21st overall team), Jason Santeiu (15th and 25th) and three guys who I recommend keeping an eye on – Danny Bronski (20th), Steven Weimer (22nd) and Ned Donohue (23rd) . 

But all 31 of these fantasy managers have gotten off to a terrific start, and that’s what you need in a big 855-team contest like the Main Event. But as the people down in 800th place or worse will tell you, it’s a long season (and they might also ask to extend it if necessary).

Overall RankOverall Prize MoneyFantasy ManagerOverall PointsPoints Behind 1st Place
1$200,000Greg Diehl7496.50.0
2$50,000Dave Rhydderch7377.0119.5
3$30,000Chris Uram7239.0257.5
4$25,000Robert DiPietro7236.0260.5
5$20,000Jon Stadtmueller7187.5309.0
6$15,000Erik Sviggum7173.5323.0
7$12,500Robert Cramutola7099.5397.0
8$10,000Bradley Libros7057.5439.0
9$9,000Eric Karlovic7033.0463.5
10$8,000Chris Boudreaux6973.5523.0
11$7,500Andy Saxton6970.5526.0
12$7,000Glenn Schroter6966.0530.5
13$6,500Nelson Sousa6963.0533.5
14$6,000Nicholi Knutson6924.5572.0
15$5,500Jason Santeiu6917.5579.0
16$5,000Zach Bettencourt6904.0592.5
17$4,000Dohn Terrell6866.5630.0
18$3,500Neil Petersen6802.0694.5
19$3,000Dave Rhydderch6794.0702.5
20$2,500Danny Bronski6764.0732.5
21$2,400Nelson Sousa6753.5743.0
22$2,300Steven Weimer6698.5798.0
23$2,200Ned Donohue6691.5805.0
24$2,100Bill Gaffney6660.0836.5
25$2,000Jason Santeiu6643.0853.5
26$1,950Stephen Prepas6584.5912.0
27$1,900Robert Beckman6541.5955.0
28$1,850David Miller6534.5962.0
29$1,800Gregg Martin6493.51003.0
30$1,750Steve Brunn6493.01003.5
31$1,700Mike Ballschmiede6461.0916.0
Average Top 31 Overall ScoreAverage Top 31 Overall Score6880.6

League of Legends

Legends Never Die GIF by HOMAGE

Here are the 31 Main Event leagues with the current top three in the standings as of the morning of April 22!

NFBC League #LEADER $7,000 prize2nd – $3,500 prize3rd – $1,750 prize
1190Ryan WelbornDan IversonGregg Martin
1194Nicholi KnutsonDaniel DaSilvaGreg Miller
1232David MillerRay MurphyRian Lange
1233Danny BronskiAndrew SullivanAndrew Kopicz
1337Daniel DaSilvaSteven HeffernanRobert Osgood Jr.
1380Philippe DussaultMichelle SmithScott Waggener
1381Steven WeimerDavid ClumJackson Price
1418Neil PetersenChristopher TorresShamir Naran
1419Bill GaffneyBrody JohnJeffrey Biddle
1427Robert CramutolaRobert DiPietroDave Anderson
1438Dave RhydderchAbdulaziz MadaniAndrew Liesch
1443Clark OlsonJason SanteiuDaniel DaSilva
1460Erik SviggumDavid HinkelZach Bettencourt
1479Dave RhydderchRobert BeckmanUttam Rath
1484Adam WarnerJoe BavaroZach Bettencourt
1485Bill GaffneyJacob SebastiaoAbdulaziz Madani
1487Mike BallschmiedeBrian MagnaniDan Thompson
1488Alex GoslineDouglas RothRichard DiMondo
1489Ben TiddRichard DiMondoJohn Lymberis
1493Paul JagerRobert CramutolaAlan Mitchell
1516Mark BendarMatthew DavisAdam Warner
1517Jon StadtmuellerDerrek SmithDominic Rello
1518Michael O’BrienDoug MoeJeff Campbell
1519Kevin HastingRobert CramutolaZachary Waxman
1520Peter ChristensenJenny ButlerSteven Weimer
1521Carter GillGriffin BengerKristopher Reed
1522Chris LissJeff EricksonGlenn Schroter
1523James TomonyClark OlsonJohn Fish
1528Jonathan VriesemaDavid EinhornShelly Verougstraete
1539Bradley LibrosBrian TerasAndrew Geller
1566Greg DiehlJeff MitseffMatt Leahy
1585Leonard RingleDave SowaRey Diaz
1586Chris SlackTom O’BryanScott Gilbert
1587James MaplesKen ClarkZachary Waxman
1598Robert DiPietroMichael O’BrienDouglas Gruber
1605Nelson SousaMike BallschmiedePeter Marrero
1615Eric KarlovicDoug CassidyMike Cameron
1634Michael LinsAaron GermanAndrew Nolan
1645Stephen CiepielaDave RhydderchDominic Rello
1646Ned DonohueDavid DiDonatoMark Northan
1647Jon StadtmuellerMark StaleyMatthew McDonough
1648Dustin WagnerDarren WasneyScott Slezak
1649Ross BergChris FesslerRobbie Brown
1650David MillerTodd HoppeMark Kieffer
1653Steve BrunnScott WaggenerScott Fleming
1658Chris UramMatthew DuganJames Shriver
1676Jason SanteiuTodd HoppeChet Lexvold
1680Nelson SousaLawrence SchechterJenny Butler
1685Dohn TerrellAbdulaziz MadaniDavid Deterra
1692Glenn SchroterSammy ReidRobert Brendler
1707Zachary VigliancoHiep HoangBrian Edwards
1714Chris BoudreauxAaron LawsonMike Ballschmiede
1778Andy SaxtonCarter GillJody Ryan
1817Zach BettencourtGregg MartinMatthew Dugan
1820Robert GieseTom RodriguezRick Thomas
1831Jason SanteiuNelson SousaGlenn Lowy
1837Stephen PrepasRobert CramutolaMichael O’Brien

Shout-outs

Shout Out Love GIF by The3Flamingos

The 26 players listed below account for 23 of the 57 first place positions (40%) and 62 of the 171 total cashing positions (36%) – great job thus far!

So far, the most outstanding performance across the Main Events is Robert Cramutola, who has one first place and three second places. Congratulations Robert! But see below as Nelson Sousa, Jason Santeiu and Dave Rhydderch are also doing terrific work!

Notables include:

One first, three seconds – Robert Cramutola
Two firsts, one second – Nelson Sousa, Jason Santeiu, Dave Rhydderch
One first, one second, one third – Daniel DaSilva, Mike Ballschmiede, Michael O’Brien
One first, two thirds – Zach Bettencourt
Two seconds, one third – Abdulaziz Madani
Two firsts – David Miller, Bill Gaffney, Jon Stadtmueller
One first; one second – Robert DiPietro, Clark Olson, Carter Gill
One first; One third – Steven Weimer, Adam Warner, Glenn Schroter
Two seconds – Todd Hoppe
One second, one third – Gregg Martin, Scott Waggener, Jenny Butler, Matthew Dugan, Richard DiMondo
Two thirds – Dominic Rello, Zachary Waxman

GOOD LUCK IN WEEK 6