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We’ve got 10 games on the Tuesday MLB DFS main slate, and it looks like an inverse of Monday’s slate on the pitching side. Monday offered us a minimum-priced Albert Suarez, but Tuesday, we’ve got some high-end pitching that could be well worth the salary.

We shouldn’t be making lineups without consulting the tools, such as –

Top MLB Fantasy Picks for DFS Today

DFS Pitchers

Pablo Lopez feels awfully affordable for an ace-level pitcher who gets to face the White Sox, especially since he has a 3.21 xFIP, 3.41 FIP and a 3.97 ERA. The White Sox are either 29^th or 30^th in wOBA, wRC+, OPS, ISO, OBP and average while they are striking out over 23% of the time. This one almost feels too easy.

Next up we have Grayson Rodriguez, who has continued to deliver on his promise with a 2.63 ERA, 27.8% K rate, 13.3% swinging strike rate, and a 29.6% CSW. He’s mixing in the secondary offerings a bit more than 2023 and he has a whiff rate of at least 23.1% on his entire arsenal. The Angels are a below-average offense to this point, and if Rodriguez can avoid damage from Mike Trout, this should be a strong start for him.

Grayson Rodriguez's 3Ks in the 6th. pic.twitter.com/R9DujUTD19
— Rob Friedman (@PitchingNinja) April 17, 2024

I’ll be playing Kevin Gausman in some format on this slate because he’s only $8,500, his pitch count got up to 101, and his velocity was back in the last start.

Kevin Gausman, welcome back. pic.twitter.com/ILRBh9ZDOv
— Mike Petriello (@mike_petriello) April 17, 2024

It’s been a bumpy road for Gausman due to an injury in spring, but with the velocity back, he’s too cheap on DK since he’s under $9,000. It’s not the most fun to take on this version of the Royals, but I also fully believe Kansas City is hitting far better than they are capable of. Even with his issues, Gausman has a 3.94 xFIP compared to an ERA of 8.16 and his swinging strike rate is 13.0%, directly in line with 2023.

Michael King was great to us in his last start and very few folks played him. That might not happen here, and he is a bit of a wonky pitcher this year. The HR/9 is 2.00, and the xFIP is about a run higher than the 3.33 ERA, but he also has a K rate of over 25% with a 32% CSW. Since the Rockies have a K rate over 30% against righties even in Coors, I will have a lineup or two with King but his walk rate of 13.2% and 44.9% fly ball rate could be a lethal combo given the venue. The good news is the Rockies are 28^th in walk rate on the season when they face a righty pitcher. It should be noted that King is far and away the best-projected value on DK with a positive GPP score.

Michael King's 10th K. pic.twitter.com/ydXzhnIhQp
— Rob Friedman (@PitchingNinja) April 17, 2024

Model Darlings

Dane Dunning

I was hoping Dane Dunning would rate well in the model, and he is tied for the second-highest GPP score among pitchers. He’s also fourth in projected value, so I will be mixing him and his sub-$7,000 salary into my 3-max.

Erick Fedde

This is a name I didn’t think I’d be talking about, but he is also tied for the second-best GPP score. The projected value isn’t there for him as it is for others but the Twins are such a volatile offense. When they hit, it’s generally for power as they have the highest percentage in the majors of hits going for extra bases. Fedde added a sweeper this year and it’s helped his sinker play better as well, which is something that can exploit the Minnesota K rate of 26.3%.

DFS Offenses

Baltimore Orioles

Gunnar Henderson, Adley Rutschman, Ryan O’Hearn, Anthony Santander, Colton Cowser, Cedric Mullins, Heston Kjerstad

Griffin Canning is getting smoked with his four-seam fastball this year — it has allowed a .505 wOBA, three home runs and just a 15.6% whiff rate. Both that pitch and his changeup allowed at least a .333 average and he’s throwing them a combined 60% of the time. The Orioles have plenty of hitters that can punish the four-seam as Gunnar Henderson, Adley Rutschman, Anthony Santander, Cedric Mullins, and Colton Cowser are over a .235 ISO. We also have another young stud hitter coming up for the Orioles in Heston Kjerstad, who was mashing in AAA. He should be a 25- to 30-homer hitter in the majors and he’s just $2,400.

Chicago Cubs

Cody Bellinger, Christopher Morel, Michael Busch, Dansby Swanson, Garrett Cooper, Ian Happ, Nico Hoerner

J.P. France might be a little unlucky overall, but the xFIP is still well over 5.00 and the Cubs have five hitters with a wOBA of at least .325 against righties so far. Cody Bellinger is just starting to get rolling and he’s at a .167 ISO while Michael Busch has been excellent, leading the team in wOBA and ISO. We can add in Garrett Cooper, Christopher Morel, and Nico Hoerner as well since the Astros have struggled on the mound overall. The bullpen is 21^st in xFIP, 22^nd in FIP and 23^rd in K rate so even if France does get hit hard, the bullpen might not put the fire out.

Model Darling

Atlanta Braves

Matt Olson, Marcell Ozuna, Michael Harris II, Ronald Acuna, Adam Duvall

As of right now, there aren’t many offenses that stand out in the GPP scores overall, but the top five hitters for the Braves have a cumulative GPP score of 20. They are all projected under 10%, which always helps and it seems like it’s only a matter of time before the Braves start hammering lefties hard again. They’re only about mid-pack in most offensive categories (and missing Ozzie Albies and Sean Murphy don’t help) and Trevor Rogers uses his four-seam and changeup the most against righties. Every hitter in the lineup has an ISO of .186 or higher against the four-seam so a low-rotered Braves stack is quite interesting.

Texas Rangers

Core Seager, Leody Taveras, Josh Smith, Wyatt Langford, Nathaniel Lowe, Adolis Garcia

The Rangers do have some highly rated options and I doubt many will touch them against George Kirby. This could be more of a three-man stack since nobody blows the doors off as far as score except for one player – Corey Seager. He leads the shortstop position in GPP score and the next closest player that could put up the same style of massive game is Bobby Witt Jr., who is four points behind. If you use the Rangers, Seager is the head of the snake.

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