NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
D.J. MooreReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 15
Browns vs. Bears
Right now, D.J. Moore’s receiving yards prop is set at 59.5 yards (-122/-107).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 59.5 (-107) after it opened @ 63.5 (-115).
Pros
- In this contest, D.J. Moore is predicted by the projections to land in the 90th percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 8.3 targets.
- After averaging 90.0 air yards per game last season, D.J. Moore has gotten better this season, currently averaging 95.0 per game.
- D.J. Moore places in the 98th percentile among WR WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that examines high-value offensive involvement) with a whopping 78.6 figure this year.
- D.J. Moore has notched significantly more adjusted receiving yards per game (78.0) this year than he did last year (49.0).
- D.J. Moore’s 75.1% Adjusted Completion% this year illustrates a meaningful improvement in his receiving proficiency over last year’s 57.7% figure.
Cons
- Our trusted projections expect the Bears as the 2nd-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 48.5% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
- Right now, the 6th-slowest paced offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) according to the model is the Chicago Bears.
- Opposing quarterbacks teams have been afraid to pass too much against the Cleveland Browns, totaling the fewest attempts in football (a measly 29.9 per game) this year.
- This year, the fierce Browns defense has allowed a measly 121.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing WRs: the 2nd-fewest in the league.
- The Cleveland Browns pass defense has yielded the lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (54.1%) vs. WRs this year (54.1%).
Projection
THE BLITZ
58
Receiving Yards
58
Receiving Yards
