NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
Tua TagovailoaPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 17
Ravens vs. Dolphins
Right now, Tua Tagovailoa’s passing yards prop is set at 252.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 252.5 (-110) after it opened @ 240.5 (-114).
Pros
- A passing game script is suggested by the Dolphins being a -3-point underdog in this week’s contest.
- The projections expect the Dolphins to be the least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 0.0% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
- This week, Tua Tagovailoa is expected by the projection model to wind up with the 6th-most pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 37.5.
- Opposing QBs have averaged 40.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Ravens defense this year: 2nd-most in football.
- Tua Tagovailoa has thrown for substantially more adjusted yards per game (288.0) this season than he did last season (253.0).
Cons
- The projections expect the Dolphins to call the 9th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 63.8 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- The 7th-smallest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Dolphins this year (only 55.7 per game on average).
- The Miami O-line profiles as the 10th-worst in football this year in pass protection, which has a harmful influence on all pass attack statistics across the board.
- Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 5th-lowest clip in the league versus the Baltimore Ravens defense this year (65.7% Adjusted Completion%).
- The Baltimore Ravens pass defense has exhibited good efficiency this year, conceding 6.39 adjusted yards-per-target: the fewest in the NFL.
Projection
THE BLITZ
266
Passing Yards
266
Passing Yards
