NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
Davante AdamsReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 16
Chiefs vs. Raiders
Right now, Davante Adams’s receiving yards prop is set at 65.5 yards (-110/-110).
Pros
- This game’s spread indicates an extreme passing game script for the Raiders, who are big -10.5-point underdogs.
- Our trusted projections expect Davante Adams to notch 11.0 targets in this week’s game, on balance, placing him in the 100th percentile when it comes to wideouts.
- Davante Adams has put up a massive 121.0 air yards per game this year: 98th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
- Davante Adams’s 83.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially better this year than it was last year at 75.0.
- The Las Vegas Raiders O-line ranks as the 6th-best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive effect on all air attack stats across the board.
Cons
- The projections expect the Raiders to be the least pass-focused team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 57.2% pass rate.
- As far as a defense’s influence on pace, at 28.57 seconds per play, the model projects the Raiders as the most sluggish in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment.
- Opposing teams have averaged 32.9 pass attempts per game versus the Chiefs defense this year: fewest in the NFL.
- Davante Adams’s 73.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this year indicates a noteworthy reduction in his receiving ability over last year’s 89.0 figure.
- Davante Adams’s 7.5 adjusted yards per target this year represents a noteable regression in his receiving proficiency over last year’s 9.0 figure.
Projection
THE BLITZ
72
Receiving Yards
72
Receiving Yards
