Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs to pass on 62.0% of their opportunities: the 4th-highest rate among all teams this week.
The leading projections forecast Rashee Rice to earn 8.9 targets in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 93rd percentile among WRs.
While Rashee Rice has earned 16.3% of his offense’s targets in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be a much bigger part of Kansas City’s passing attack in this week’s contest at 24.5%.
With a terrific 59.0 adjusted yards per game on passes (81st percentile) this year, Rashee Rice places among the top pass-catching wide receivers in football.
This year, the anemic Patriots pass defense has been gouged for a monstrous 66.8% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing WRs: the 10th-worst rate in football.
Cons
The Chiefs are a 3.5-point favorite in this game, indicating a running game script.
The Patriots pass defense has been quite strong when opposing wide receivers have gotten into space, giving up an average of 3.47 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 7th-fewest in the league.